Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Dec 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 0
Lyon

Oliveira (21'), Murillo (25'), Aubameyang (55')
Ounahi (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lovren (21'), Diawara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lyon
57.42% ( 0.02)	22% ( -0.01)	20.57% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.02)

42.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.98% (

0.02)

65.02% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

0.01)

14.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

0.03)

42.7% (

-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

-0)

34.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74%

71.26% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Marseille 57.42%

Lyon 20.57%

Draw 21.99%

Marseille	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.42%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.57%