MX23RW : Thursday, February 29 23:49:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lyon
Lens
3 - 2
Lyon
Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Brien (15', 72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 0-2 Lille
Sunday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-0 Lyon

As bad as it was for them at Arsenal this week, Lens have shown the ability to pick themselves up after a disappointing result, while their defensive shape has improved tremendously versus French opponents. There have been a few positive takeaways for Lyon in recent matches, but not enough for us to believe their attacking quality has improved, with Les Gones tied for the fewest goals scored in Ligue 1 to date (nine). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLyon
49.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 24.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.18% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)51.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)33.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lens 49.97%
    Lyon 25.34%
    Draw 24.67%
LensDrawLyon
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%

How you voted: Lens vs Lyon

Lens
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Lyon
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 31
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (65')
Fortes (6'), Sotoca (70'), Michelin (87')
Paqueta (81')
Guimaraes (7'), Depay (48'), De Sciglio (79')
Slimani (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG23166154193554
2Brest23127434181643
3MonacoMonaco23125644341041
4Nice2311752215740
5Lille23108533201338
6Lens2310673024636
7Rennes239863527835
8Reims2310493031-134
9Marseille238963325833
10Lyon2384112535-1028
11Toulouse236892531-626
12NantesNantes2374122334-1125
13StrasbourgStrasbourg2367102335-1225
14Le HavreLe Havre235992430-624
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier2358102531-622
16Lorient2357113144-1322
17Metz2345141937-1817
18Clermont2338121636-2017

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