/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
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Wesley Said
26'
-
Deiver Machado
35'
-
Facundo Medina
41'
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Przemyslaw Frankowski
52'
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Przemyslaw Frankowski
74'
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Florian Sotoca
90'
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Jake O'Brien
15'
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Jake O'Brien
72'
Lens vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result
Lens
49.98%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
24.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Lyon
25.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
53.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
49.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
28.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
71.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
13.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
86.14%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
80.33%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
48.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
51.65%
▼
(-0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
66.17%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
33.82%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
29.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
70.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Lens
49.97%
Draw
24.67%
Lyon
25.34%
Lens
1-0
@
10.81%
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
2-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.97%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
0-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.67%
Lyon
0-1
@
7.21%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%
1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.34%