Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Lille had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 37.66% ( | 24.69% ( | 37.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% ( | 44.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( | 23.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( | 23.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( | 57.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.65% |