Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Lille had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.