Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.