Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lens |
| 27.78% ( | 26.17% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( | 53.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( | 74.99% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( | 34.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( | 70.87% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 3-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.04% |