Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nice in this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Nice |
| 27.6% ( | 26.18% ( | 46.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( | 53.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.92% ( | 75.08% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( | 34.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% ( | 71.08% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( | 23.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( | 57.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.22% |