Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Burnley |
67.7% ( -0.21) | 18.41% ( 0.21) | 13.89% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.93% ( -0.99) | 38.07% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.67% ( -1.06) | 60.33% ( 1.06) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.68% ( -0.32) | 10.32% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.24% ( -0.73) | 33.75% ( 0.73) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.35% ( -0.63) | 39.65% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.67% ( -0.59) | 76.32% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Burnley |
2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.66% Total : 67.7% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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