Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Molineux Stadium

Wolves
1 - 0
Burnley

Hee-chan (42')
Lemina (57'), Kilman (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (2'), Berge (53'), Taylor (63'), Ekdal (74')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Gary O'Neil celebrates after the match on November 11, 2023

Gary O'Neil talks up magnitude of Wolverhampton Wanderers win over Burnley

Head coach Gary O'Neil talks up the importance of Wolverhampton Wanderers recording a 1-0 victory over Burnley in the Premier League on Tuesday night.

Dec 5, 23:04

The Match

Match Report

Hwang Hee-chan scores the only goal as Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Burnley 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Burnley
37.56% ( -0.02)	25.04% ( -0.01)	37.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

0.04)

45.82% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

0.04)

68.14% (

-0.03)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

0.01)

24.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

0.01)

58.31% (

-0)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

0.04)

24.13% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

0.05)

58.43% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.56%

Burnley 37.4%

Draw 25.03%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Burnley
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.56%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.4%