Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.