Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Enzo Fernandez 17' goal
  • Levi Colwill 21' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 31' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 45' redcard
  • Benoit Badiashile 52' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 59' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 65' goal
  • Robert Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Buonanotte 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 58'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 64'
  • yellowcard James Milner 64'
  • goal Joao Pedro 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+14'

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Newcastle 4 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 40.15% (-2.14)
Draw 23.48% (+0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion 36.36% (+2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.34% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.59% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.4% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.31% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 60.69% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.59% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.41% (-0.05)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 80.49% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 19.5% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 48.61% (-1.52)
Under 1.5 51.38% (+1.52)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 78.68% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 21.31% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 45.74% (+1.67)
Under 1.5 54.25% (-1.67)

Score analysis

Chelsea 40.15%
Draw 23.48%
Brighton & Hove Albion 36.36%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.29)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 40.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.48%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 8.12% (+0.28)
0-1 @ 6.43% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.97% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 4.18% (+0.28)
2-3 @ 3.42% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.24)
1-4 @ 1.62% (+0.16)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero 43' yellowcard
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 45' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 42'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 90'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2023 12.00am
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Lincoln Financial Field
  • Christopher Nkunku 19' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 65' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 72' goal
  • Nicholas Jackson 77' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 13'
  • goal Joao Pedro 79'
  • goal Deniz Undav 89'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Conor Gallagher 13' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 42'
  • goal Julio Enciso 69'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Leandro Trossard 5' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 14' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 42' goal
  • Pascal Gross 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kai Havertz 48'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Webster 60' goal
  • Dan Burn 80' yellowcard
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 28'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 59'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 81'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2021 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 28' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 41' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 58' yellowcard
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 64' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 81'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 90'+1'

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