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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brentford logo
Brighton
2 - 1
Brentford
Gross (31'), Hinshelwood (52')
Paul van Hecke (25'), Buonanotte (45+7'), Gilmour (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (27' pen.)
Wissa (76')
The Match
Match Report
Jack Hinshelwood scores his first goal in senior football as Brighton & Hove Albion come from a goal down to beat Brentford 2-1 at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 18.45% (0.176 0.18) 14.51% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.342 -0.34)36.83% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.375 -0.38)59.01% (0.377 0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (-0.191 -0.19)10.14% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (-0.438 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.04%
    Brentford 14.51%
    Draw 18.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
61.1%
Draw
30.9%
Brentford
8.0%
162
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 10.30pm
Club Friendlies
Brentford
0-2
Brighton

Onyeka (31'), Zanka (41')
Adingra (19', 58')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
3-3
Brentford
Mitoma (21'), Welbeck (28'), Mac Allister (90' pen.)
Jansson (10'), Toney (22'), Pinnock (49')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brentford
2-0
Brighton
Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Brighton
0-1
Brentford
Toney (80')
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Brighton
2-0
Brentford
Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool26186263253860
2Manchester CityMan City26185359263359
3Arsenal26184462233958
4Aston Villa26164656352152
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs25145652381447
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd26142103636044
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2610974941839
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham2611694046-639
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves26115104040038
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle26114115445937
11Chelsea25105104241135
12Fulham2695123642-632
13Crystal Palace2677123144-1328
14Bournemouth2577113347-1428
15Everton2687112834-625
16Brentford2674153748-1125
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2666143448-1424
18Luton TownLuton2555153551-1620
19Burnley2634192558-3313
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2634192266-4413

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