MX23RW : Friday, March 1 01:51:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Marseille
Lorient
2 - 4
Marseille
Faivre (41'), Mendy (52')
Le Goff (14'), Mendy (16'), Laporte (45+3'), Innocent (62'), Mendy (71')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Mbemba (3'), Aubameyang (9', 42'), Balerdi (33')
Balerdi (21'), Lodi (57'), Gigot (59')
Clauss (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Lyon
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

Lorient have not beaten Marseille at any venue since a barnstorming 5-3 victory back in 2015, and not at home since early 2012, while recent form also suggests the odds are stacked against them. While Marseille have been extremely poor on the road in Ligue 1, a first win of the season away from home cannot be too far away given their upturn in fortunes under Gattuso, and this could be the place to get it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
21.79%23.43%54.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 52.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66%47.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.56%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.4%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 21.79%
    Marseille 54.77%
    Draw 23.43%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.31%
2-1 @ 5.68%
2-0 @ 3.22%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.79%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 9.6%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.54%
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 54.77%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
11.4%
Draw
14.3%
Marseille
74.3%
35
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 19
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Moffi (29')
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 36
Lorient
0-3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG23166154193554
2Brest23127434181643
3MonacoMonaco23125644341041
4Nice2311752215740
5Lille23108533201338
6Lens2310673024636
7Rennes239863527835
8Reims2310493031-134
9Marseille238963325833
10Lyon2384112535-1028
11Toulouse236892531-626
12NantesNantes2374122334-1125
13StrasbourgStrasbourg2367102335-1225
14Le HavreLe Havre235992430-624
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier2358102531-622
16Lorient2357113144-1322
17Metz2345141937-1817
18Clermont2338121636-2017

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