Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Aron Donnum 1' yellowcard
  • Carles Martinez 2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 72' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 9'
  • yellowcard Montassar Talbi 33'
  • yellowcard Julien Ponceau 71'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 83'
  • goal Bamba Dieng 90'+1'

Toulouse vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 12.00pm
Nice 1 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
Lorient 2 - 3 Metz
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mohamed Bamba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Toulouse 50.38% (+1.44)
Draw 24.35% (+0.18)
Lorient 25.27% (-1.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14% (-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.21% (-2.00)
Under 2.5 47.79% (+2.01)
Over 3.5 30.02% (-1.87)
Under 3.5 69.98% (+1.88)
Over 4.5 14.69% (-1.31)
Under 4.5 85.31% (+1.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 81.01% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 18.99% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 49.46% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 50.54% (+0.35)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 66.83% (-2.34)
Under 0.5 33.17% (+2.34)
Over 1.5 30.23% (-2.67)
Under 1.5 69.77% (+2.67)

Score analysis

Toulouse 50.38%
Draw 24.34%
Lorient 25.27%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.46% (+0.78)
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.60)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.3% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
Lorient
0-1 @ 6.95% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.18)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.27%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 31' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 43' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 64' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 72' yellowcard
  • goal Armand Lauriente 2'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 23'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 80'
Coupe de la Ligue
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Issiaga Sylla 28' yellowcard
  • Steeve Yago 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Kamissoko 32'
  • goal Abdoul Bila 74'
Ligue 1
Feb 8, 2017 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vincent Le Goff 26' yellowcard
  • Abdul Majeed Waris 47' yellowcard
  • Sylvain Marveaux 60' goal
  • goal Andy Delort 24'
  • yellowcard Ola Toivonen 71'
  • yellowcard Issa Diop 75'
Ligue 1
Dec 10, 2016 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ola Toivonen 8' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 20' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 60' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 83' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Durmaz 92' yellowcard
  • goal Bejamin Moukandjo 27'
  • goal Majeed Waris 90'
Ligue 1
Apr 16, 2016 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafidine Abdullah 78' yellowcard
  • Zargo Toure 91' goal
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 49'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 74'
  • yellowcard Francois Moubandje 77'