MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 04:58:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Lorient logo
Toulouse
1 - 1
Lorient
Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient

The hosts have not fared too well against Lorient at home in the recent past, winning just one of their previous four Ligue 1 games here, but there have been 19 goals in those previous meetings. Lorient's goal-laden season at both ends may therefore continue in a close encounter which will likely end level, especially considering the visitor's record of just one win in 16 away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLorient
50.38% (1.434 1.43) 24.35% (0.17 0.17) 25.27% (-1.603 -1.6)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-2.034 -2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-1.998 -2)47.79% (2.001 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-1.868 -1.87)69.98% (1.87 1.87)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.203 -0.2)18.99% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.341 -0.34)50.54% (0.343 0.34)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-2.337 -2.34)33.17% (2.34 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-2.664 -2.66)69.77% (2.666 2.67)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.38%
    Lorient 25.27%
    Draw 24.34%
ToulouseDrawLorient
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.777 0.78)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.595 0.6)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.299 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.508 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lorient

Toulouse
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Lorient
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG22165153183553
2Brest23127434181643
3Nice2211652215739
4Lille22108432171538
5MonacoMonaco2211564132938
6Lens2210662821736
7Rennes229763426834
8Reims229492830-231
9Marseille227962924530
10Lyon2384112535-1028
11NantesNantes2374122334-1125
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2367102335-1225
13Le HavreLe Havre225982328-524
14Toulouse225892230-823
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier225892427-322
16Lorient2357113144-1322
17Metz2345141937-1817
18Clermont2237121636-2016

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