Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 12pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 0
Toulouse

Moffi (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Casseres Jr (33'), Bangre (81'), Desler (83'), Gelabert (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Toulouse
56.16% ( 0.15)	23.94% ( -0.01)	19.9% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36% (

-0.15)

51.63% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0.13)

73.42% (

0.14)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77%

18.23% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.74%

49.26% (

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.59% (

-0.25)

40.41% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.97% (

-0.23)

77.02% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Nice 56.15%

Toulouse 19.9%

Draw 23.93%

Nice	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 56.15%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 19.9%