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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Le Havre

Toulouse
1 - 2
Le Havre

Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Le Havre

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
49.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)72.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.93% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 49.51%
    Le Havre 25.41%
    Draw 25.07%
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.41%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Le Havre

Toulouse
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Le Havre
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
4-0
Le Havre
Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Toulouse
Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')
Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')
May 4, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 34
Le Havre
0-1
Toulouse

Bonnet (4'), Lekhal (69'), Boutaib (89')
Bonnet (60')
Kone (28')
van den Boomen (47'), Gabrielsen (70'), Spierings (77'), Dewaest (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
4-3
Le Havre
Healey (2', 12'), Adli (31'), Spierings (90+8' pen.)
Amian (60'), Healey (81')
Bonnet (19'), Meras (50'), Alioui (83')
Gibaud (29'), Basque (56'), Meras (90+6')