Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Montpellier
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Akor Adams 13' goal
  • Khalil Fayad 30' yellowcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Khalil Fayad 63' goal
  • Akor Adams 72' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 34'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 38'
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 63'

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
Nantes 2 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 1 Reims
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 46.31% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 24.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Toulouse 29.48% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.04% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 2.5 44.21% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 33.41% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 3.5 66.59% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 4.5 17.09% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 82.91% ▲ (+0.33)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 80.76% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 19.24% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 49.05% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 50.95% ▲ (+0.50)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 71.86% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 36.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.81% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 46.31%
Draw 24.2%
Toulouse 29.48%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.2%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 29.48%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Montpellier
Apr 9, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Elye Wahi 88' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 31'
  • goal Fares Chaibi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Toulouse
Oct 2, 2022 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Montpellier
  • Stijn Spierings 18' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 24' goal
  • Fares Chaibi 31' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 48' goal
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 7'
  • goal Elye Wahi 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
Toulouse
May 23, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
Toulouse
  • Joris Chotard 34' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 43' goal
  • Damien Le Tallec 59' goal
  • Teji Savanier 75' goal
  • Solomon Sambia 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 39'
  • yellowcard William Vainqueur 41'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Montpellier
Apr 14, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
Toulouse
  • Pedro Mendes 51' yellowcard
  • Ellyes Skhiri 54' goal
  • Florent Mollet 63' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Camara 77' goal
  • goal Kalidou Sidibe 67'
  • yellowcard Christopher Jullien 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Toulouse
Oct 27, 2018 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
Montpellier
  • Jimmy Durmaz 22' yellowcard
  • Corentin Jean 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Delort 1'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 21'
  • goal Andy Delort 24'
  • goal Baptiste Reynet 90' (OG)

Form Data

Nantes 2 - 0 Montpellier
Lorient 0 - 3 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 0 Rennes
Strasbourg 2 - 2 Montpellier
Lille 1 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 3 Reims
Liverpool 5 - 1 Toulouse
Toulouse 1 - 1 Reims
Brest 1 - 1 Toulouse
Toulouse 1 - 0 LASK
Toulouse 3 - 0 Metz
Lens 2 - 1 Toulouse