Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 33.14% ( | 25.41% ( | 41.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( | 48.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( | 63.2% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( | 23.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( | 56.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.15% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.44% |