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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Montpellier

PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier

Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have kept their back door bolted shut more often than not in recent weeks, but over the past six years, PSG have always found a way through the Paillade backline on more than one occasion, and Friday's encounter should be no different. An in-form Adams is certainly capable of denying the hosts a fifth straight clean sheet at home, but Enrique's own effervescent forwards should fire their team to the top of the table - at least temporarily - on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
62.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 20.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)11.84% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9% (0.023000000000003 0.02)37.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.52%
    Montpellier HSC 17.41%
    Draw 20.06%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.41%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
89.0%
Draw
6.0%
Montpellier HSC
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
May 12, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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