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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
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Achraf Hakimi
16'
-
Kylian Mbappe
32'
-
Ousmane Dembele
44'
-
Randal Kolo
53'
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Lee Kang-in
89'
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Malick Thiaw
4'
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Rade Krunic
7'
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Fikayo Tomori
61'
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Pierre Kalulu
62'
Paris Saint-Germain vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result
Paris Saint-Germain
48.81%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
23.92%
▲
(+0.11)
AC Milan
27.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
57.36%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.63%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
44.37%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
33.25%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
66.74%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 4.5
16.98%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
83.02%
▲
(+0.18)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
81.71%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
18.29%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
50.64%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
49.36%
▲
(+0.45)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
70.2%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
29.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
34.13%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
65.87%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Paris Saint-Germain
48.81%
Draw
23.92%
AC Milan
27.26%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1
@
9.52%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.81%
1-0 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.81%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
2-2 @ 5.77%
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
AC Milan
1-2
@
6.79%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 27.26%