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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
48.58% (-0.611 -0.61) 25.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.09% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.82 0.82)51.2% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.712 0.71)73.04% (-0.708 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.074000000000012 0.07)21.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.112 0.11)53.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (1.024 1.02)34.32% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (1.082 1.08)71.03% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.57%
    Juventus 26.09%
    Draw 25.32%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
63.9%
Draw
22.9%
Juventus
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
Juventus win 0-0 on penalties
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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