Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 48.58% ( | 25.33% ( | 26.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( | 51.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( | 73.04% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( | 53.91% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( | 71.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.09% |