Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Juventus |
| 29.28% ( | 26.22% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% ( | 52.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( | 74.51% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 3-0 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.28% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.49% |