Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.