Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Eric Roy 0' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 43' goal
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 52' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 86' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 87' yellowcard
  • Marco Bizot 88' yellowcard
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 16'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 28'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 87'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 88'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 89'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 89'
  • yellowcard Randal Kolo 90'+4'

Brest vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
Lille 1 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 4.00pm
PSG 3 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Brest 21.93% (-0.29)
Draw 22.53% (-0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain 55.53% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.14% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.75% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 43.25% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 34.35% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 65.65% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.78% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.22% (+0.10)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 66.4% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 33.6% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 29.75% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 70.25% (+0.36)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 84.55% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 15.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 55.71% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 44.29% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Brest 21.93%
Draw 22.53%
Paris Saint-Germain 55.53%
Brest
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 21.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.19% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.53%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.87% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 9.05% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.64% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.63% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.53%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Franck Honorat 43' goal
  • goal Carlos Soler 37'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neymar 30' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ander Herrera 24' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 32' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 34' yellowcard
  • Thilo Kehrer 53' goal
  • Presnel Kimpembe 55' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 58' yellowcard
  • Danilo Pereira 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 34'
  • yellowcard Lucien Agoume 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 61'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Franck Honorat 42' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 52' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 85' goal
  • goal Ander Herrera 23'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 36'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 54'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 65'
  • goal Idrissa Gueye 73'
  • goal Angel di Maria 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hugo Magnetti 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 27'
  • yellowcard Neymar 33'
  • goal Romain Faivre 37' (OG)
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 71'
Coupe de France
Mar 6, 2021 8.10pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 9'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 27'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 44'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 69'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 73'