Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.