Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
4 - 3
Fulham

Leno (20' og.), Mac Allister (38'), Endo (87'), Alexander-Arnold (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Wilson (24'), Tete (45+3'), Reid (80')

Reaction

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 LASK
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 3-2 Wolves
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Fulham
78.04% ( -1.66)	13.54% ( 0.87)	8.41% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.05% (

-1.6)

29.94% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.87% (

-1.96)

51.12% (

1.96)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.85% (

-0.62)

6.14% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.71% (

-1.76)

23.28% (

1.76)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.35% (

0.58)

43.64% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.17% (

0.48)

79.82% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 78.04%

Fulham 8.41%

Draw 13.54%

Liverpool	Draw	Fulham
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.25) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.18) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.28% Total : 78.04%	1-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.54%	1-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.41%