Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Liverpool

Mateta (57' pen.)
Ward (37'), Ayew (60'), Lerma (64'), Richards (71'), Hodgson (77'), Andersen (90+8'), Ahamada (90+12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Salah (76'), Elliott (90+1')
Gomez (90+9'), Diaz (90+10')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Bournemouth
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
24.35% ( -0.83)	22.91% ( -0.3)	52.74% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72% (

0.58)

42.28% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32% (

0.58)

64.68% (

-0.58)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

-0.36)

30.95% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.43)

67.25% (

0.43)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

0.62)

16.05% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

1.12)

45.42% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 24.35%

Liverpool 52.74%

Draw 22.9%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 24.35%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.74%