Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
62.15% | 21.89% | 15.95% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.72% ( 0) | 49.27% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% | 71.33% ( -0) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% | 15.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% ( 0) | 44.04% ( -0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.25% ( -0) | 43.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 62.14% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.54% 1-2 @ 4.3% 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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