EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Jan 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 1
Liverpool

(Liverpool win 3-2 on aggregate)

Diop (76')
Cairney (42'), Diop (78'), Wilson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diaz (11')
Kelleher (90+3')

Reaction

Fulham's Bobby Decordova-Reid in action with Liverpool's Joe Gomez on January 24, 2024

Jurgen Klopp lauds "lifesaver" Joe Gomez as Liverpool reach EFL Cup final

Jurgen Klopp hails Joe Gomez as a "lifesaver" as Liverpool advance to the EFL Cup final courtesy of a nervy 3-2 aggregate win over Fulham in the semi-finals.

Jan 25, 07:46

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Liverpool
34.45% ( -0.3)	23.2% ( -0.02)	42.35% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 64.01% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.64% (

37.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.42% (

59.58% (

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

-0.16)

21.82% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

-0.24)

55.04% (

0.25)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88% (

0.14)

18.12% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.92% (

0.23)

49.08% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Fulham 34.45%

Liverpool 42.35%

Draw 23.2%

Fulham	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 34.45%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 42.35%