FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 0
Rotherham

Reid (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Rotherham United
66.51% ( 1.45)	19.07% ( -0.72)	14.41% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96% (

1.75)

40.04% (

-1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

1.79)

62.4% (

-1.79)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

0.91)

11.17% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.34% (

1.94)

35.66% (

-1.94)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82% (

0.09)

40.17% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19% (

0.09)

76.81% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Fulham 66.52%

Rotherham United 14.41%

Draw 19.07%

Fulham	Draw	Rotherham United
2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.17) Other @ 4.07% Total : 66.52%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.07%	0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.41%