FA Cup
Jan 5, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Craven Cottage
  • Bobby Reid 24' goal

Fulham vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Rotherham United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result

Fulham 66.51% (+1.46)
Draw 19.07% (-0.72)
Rotherham United 14.41% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.14% (+0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (+1.76)
Under 2.5 40.04% (-1.75)
Over 3.5 37.59% (+1.80)
Under 3.5 62.4% (-1.79)
Over 4.5 20.24% (+1.38)
Under 4.5 79.76% (-1.37)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5 88.82% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 11.17% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 64.34% (+1.95)
Under 1.5 35.66% (-1.94)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 59.82% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 40.17% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 23.19% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.81% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Fulham 66.52%
Draw 19.07%
Rotherham United 14.41%
Fulham
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.44)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.88% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 7.18% (+0.22)
4-0 @ 4.32% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 3.94% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.89% (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.79% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.73% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 66.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 19.07%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 14.41%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Purrington 82' yellowcard
  • goal Sone Aluko 66'
  • yellowcard Stefan Johansen 90'
Championship
Dec 13, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stefan Johansen 32' goal
  • Floyd Ayite 54' goal
  • goal Joe Newell 19'
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 92'
Championship
Dec 29, 2015 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Cauley Woodrow 6' goal
  • Cauley Woodrow 45' goal
  • Alexander Kacaniklic 59' goal
  • Ross McCormack 69' goal
  • goal Farrend Rawson 20'
Championship
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Chris Maguire 30' yellowcard
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 72' goal
  • goal Ben Pringle 7'
  • goal Ross McCormack 16'
  • yellowcard Ross McCormack 76'
  • yellowcard Lasse Vigen Christensen 86'
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 93'
Championship
Apr 15, 2015 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Guthrie 54' yellowcard
  • Ross McCormack 67' goal
  • Dan Burn 81' yellowcard
  • Michael Turner 86' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 4'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 73'
Championship
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alex Revell 28' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 55' goal
  • Nikolay Bodurov 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marcus Bettinelli 28'
  • goal Ross McCormack 33'
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 58'
  • goal Dan Burn 90'