Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Home Park
  • Finn Azaz 45'+5' goal
  • Finn Azaz 45'+5' goal
  • Finn Azaz 52' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 90'+6' goal
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 16'
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 16'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 25'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 25'
  • yellowcard Hakeem Odofin 36'
  • yellowcard Hakeem Odofin 36'
  • yellowcard Sam Nombe 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Sam Nombe 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lindsay 49'
  • redcard Daniel Ayala 55'
  • goal Tom Eaves 77'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Viktor Johansson 90'+3'

Plymouth Argyle vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
QPR 0 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Rotherham 0 - 2 West Brom
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Hakeem Odofin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 52.92% (-0.04)
Draw 23.71% (-0.05)
Rotherham United 23.37% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.19% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 46.81% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 30.93% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 69.07% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 15.32% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 84.68% (-0.19)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 82.35% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 17.65% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 51.75% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 48.25% (-0.16)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 65.73% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 34.27% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 29.03% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 70.97% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 52.92%
Draw 23.71%
Rotherham United 23.37%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.71%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.02% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.37%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Panutche Camara 26' yellowcard
  • Joe Edwards 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Barlaser 25'
  • goal Michael Smith 63'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 82'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Freddie Ladapo 10' goal
  • Ben Wiles 38' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 49' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lindsay 66' yellowcard
League One
Apr 28, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joel Grant 56' goal
  • Graham Carey 90' goal
  • goal Richie Towell 33'
  • yellowcard Ryan Williams 51'
  • yellowcard Marek Rodak 92'
League One
Dec 16, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richie Towell 36' yellowcard
  • Richard Wood 42' yellowcard
  • Richard Wood 50' redcard
  • Semi Ajayi 90' goal
  • yellowcard Graham Carey 40'
  • goal Ryan Taylor 82'
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 83'
League Two
Apr 20, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Curtis Nelson 75' yellowcard
  • Andres Gurrieri 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Revell 10'
  • yellowcard Keiran Agard 19'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 23'
  • goal Keiran Agard 75'
League Two
Oct 27, 2012 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gareth Evans 22' yellowcard
  • Keiran Agard 73' goal
  • Kayode Odejayi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander MacDonald 52'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lowry 70'