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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Sunderland

Plymouth
2 - 0
Sunderland

Whittaker (24'), Azaz (40')
Cundle (26'), Kesler (85'), Randell (90+1'), Mumba (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Nien (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 1-3 (5.52%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
32.88% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.03% (0.004999999999999 0)45.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.93% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.99% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)32.01% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.42% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)53.57% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.14% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.59% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)52.41% (0.052 0.05)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)43.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 32.88%
    Sunderland 45.09%
    Draw 22.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 45.09%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Sunderland

Plymouth Argyle
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
Sunderland
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Plymouth
0-0
Sunderland
Sessegnon (90+2')
Cirkin (59'), Evans (84')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
2-1
Plymouth
Neill (4'), Broadhead (13')
Winchester (45+1'), Stewart (54'), Wright (77'), O'Brien (81')
Scarr (64')
Edwards (22'), Houghton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Plymouth
1-3
Sunderland
Edwards (63')
Camara (42'), Law (49'), Opoku (54'), Edwards (76')
Opoku (64')
Stewart (21'), Maguire (84' pen.), Hume (90+2')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sunderland
1-2
Plymouth
O'Brien (51')
Winchester (28'), O'Brien (54')
Lewis (11'), Edwards (56')
Lewis (46'), Cooper (83')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
2-0
Plymouth
Cattermole (32'), Honeyman (87')
Dunne (50')

Canavan (93')