Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.