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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Sunderland

Leicester
1 - 0
Sunderland

Justin (12')
Iheanacho (40'), Vestergaard (50'), Justin (67'), Pereira (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Nien (50'), Hume (54'), Cirkin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
46.69% (0.567 0.57)23.56% (-0.023 -0.02)29.74% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (-0.198 -0.2)41.07% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.201 -0.2)63.46% (0.199 0.2)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (0.145 0.14)17.84% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.254 0.25)48.6% (-0.255 -0.25)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)26.38% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.605 -0.6)61.53% (0.603 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 46.69%
    Sunderland 29.75%
    Draw 23.56%
Leicester CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: Leicester vs Sunderland

Leicester City
87.0%
Draw
7.2%
Sunderland
5.8%
69
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Leicester
Huth (64' og.), Defoe (77')
van Aanholt (68'), Larsson (72'), Djilobodji (78')
Okazaki (80')
Fuchs (81')