Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.