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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 27.21% ( | 24.96% ( | 47.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( | 48.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( | 70.98% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( | 32.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( | 20.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( | 52.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.83% |