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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Sunderland

QPR
1 - 3
Sunderland

Paal (12')
Armstrong (33'), Kakay (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (45+8'), Ballard (57'), Ba (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawSunderland
27.21% (0.012 0.01)24.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)48.89% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)70.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.68% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 27.21%
    Sunderland 47.83%
    Draw 24.95%
Queens Park RangersDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.29%
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.83%

How you voted: QPR vs Sunderland

Queens Park Rangers
19.2%
Draw
42.3%
Sunderland
38.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
QPR
0-3
Sunderland
O'Nien (34'), Clarke (82', 90+2')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-2
QPR
Stewart (31'), Simms (40')
Clarke (26'), Evans (41'), Gooch (85')
Chair (87'), Dieng (90+2')
Field (30'), Dickie (38')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Last 16
QPR
0-0
Sunderland
Sunderland win 3-1 on penalties
de Wijs (15')
O'Nien (17'), Gooch (39'), Stewart (90+4')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
QPR
1-0
Sunderland
Eze (62')
Freeman (61'), Onuoha (74')

O'Shea (70')
Steele (49')
Oct 14, 2017 3pm