Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Ryan Manning 11' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 19' yellowcard
  • Carlos Alcaraz 29' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 30' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 64' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Colback 32'
  • yellowcard Stephen Duke-McKenna 87'
  • yellowcard Sam Field 89'

Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Plymouth 1 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
QPR 0 - 1 Ipswich
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ilias Chair

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 44.67% (-0.51)
Draw 26.78% (-0.24)
Queens Park Rangers 28.55% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.26% (+1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.61% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 55.39% (-1.23)
Over 3.5 23.41% (+1.00)
Under 3.5 76.59% (-1.00)
Over 4.5 10.36% (+0.61)
Under 4.5 89.64% (-0.61)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 75.32% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 24.68% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 40.78% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 59.21% (-0.42)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 65.41% (+1.24)
Under 0.5 34.59% (-1.24)
Over 1.5 28.69% (+1.30)
Under 1.5 71.31% (-1.30)

Score analysis

Southampton 44.66%
Draw 26.78%
Queens Park Rangers 28.55%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.48)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.14% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.78%
Queens Park Rangers
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.81% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.67% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.55%

Head to Head

Premier League
Feb 7, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joey Barton 14' yellowcard
  • Clint Hill 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Schneiderlin 75'
  • goal Sadio Mane 93'
  • yellowcard Fraser Forster 96'
Premier League
Sep 27, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nathaniel Clyne 26' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bertrand 54' goal
  • Graziano Pelle 68' goal
  • yellowcard Karl Henry 29'
  • goal Charlie Austin 66'
Premier League
Mar 2, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gaston Ramirez 45' goal
  • Jose Fonte 45' yellowcard
  • goal Loïc Remy 14'
  • yellowcard Jay Bothroyd 17'
  • yellowcard Stéphane M'Bia 24'
  • yellowcard Armand Traore 45'
  • goal Jay Bothroyd 77'
Premier League
Nov 17, 2012 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • David Hoilett 49' goal
  • José Bosingwa 69' yellowcard
  • goal Rickie Lambert 23'
  • goal Jason Puncheon 45'
  • goal Anton Ferdinand 83' (OG)
Championship
Mar 14, 2009 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lloyd James 54' yellowcard
  • David McGoldrick 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaspars Gorkss 37'
  • yellowcard Damion Stewart 68'
Championship
Sep 14, 2008 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dexter Blackstock 1' goal
  • Damion Stewart 63' goal
  • Mikele Leigertwood 67' yellowcard
  • Damien Delaney 68' yellowcard
  • Dexter Blackstock 77' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 90' goal
  • redcard Ollie Lancashire 30'
  • goal Adam Lallana 53'
  • yellowcard Morgan Schneiderlin 65'