Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.