Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.