EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 23' goal
  • William Forrester 51' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 70' yellowcard
  • Zac Ashworth 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Crooks 33'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 47'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 48'
  • goal Riley McGree 90'+1'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 90'+4'

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 37.89%
Draw 24.59% (-0.01)
Middlesbrough 37.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.28%
Under 2.5 43.72% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.89%
Under 3.5 66.11% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.44%
Under 4.5 82.56% (-0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 77.08% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.32%
Under 1.5 56.68% (-0.01)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 76.89% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.03%
Under 1.5 56.96% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 37.89%
Draw 24.59%
Middlesbrough 37.52%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.75%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.59%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.52%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 16'
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 28'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • George Saville 34' goal
  • Stewart Downing 65' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 90' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Magennis 64'
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 68'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 80'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 93'
Championship
Dec 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Howson 33' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 49' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 57' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 67' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Taylor 12'
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 51'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 88'
Championship
Sep 9, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jem Karacan 10' yellowcard
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 13'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 45'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 71'
  • goal Marvin Johnson 78'
Championship
Apr 16, 2016 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Vela 61' goal
  • Mark Davies 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Amos 80' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emilio Nsue 33'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ayala 36'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 73'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 91'
Championship
Aug 15, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Diego Fabbrini 7' goal
  • Kike 17' goal
  • Kike 32' goal