League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Adeboyejo (3', 14', 37')
Thomason (28'), Charles (45+1'), Ashworth (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Earl (90+3')
Johnston (10'), Broom (47'), Omochere (54'), Vela (79')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Bolton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Fleetwood Town
58.58% ( 0.1)	23.52% ( -0.02)	17.89% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33% (

-0.03)

52.66% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

-0.02)

74.3% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

0.03)

17.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

0.05)

48.38% (

-0.05)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.11)

43.3% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.09)

79.54% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 58.57%

Fleetwood Town 17.89%

Draw 23.52%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.57%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.89%