League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton

Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
25.69% ( -0.03)	24.68% ( 0.12)	49.62% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.48% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.54)

48.85% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

-0.49)

70.95% (

0.49)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

-0.32)

33.39% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98% (

-0.35)

70.01% (

0.35)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

-0.25)

19.71% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

-0.41)

51.72% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 25.69%

Bolton Wanderers 49.61%

Draw 24.68%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.69%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.61%