League One Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Luke Leahy 3' goal
  • Rob Street 53' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 70'

Shrewsbury Town vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 3 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Peterborough 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result

Shrewsbury Town 43.06% (-1.50)
Draw 25% (+0.71)
Bristol Rovers 31.94% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.64% (-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.37% (-2.89)
Under 2.5 46.63% (+2.89)
Over 3.5 31.1% (-2.76)
Under 3.5 68.9% (+2.77)
Over 4.5 15.44% (-1.99)
Under 4.5 84.56% (+1.99)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (-1.87)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+1.88)
Over 1.5 45.21% (-2.94)
Under 1.5 54.8% (+2.95)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 27.71% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 36.73% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 63.27% (+1.19)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 43.06%
Draw 25%
Bristol Rovers 31.94%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 7.02% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.36)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.31)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.25)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.47)
0-0 @ 6% (+0.70)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 7.7% (+0.72)
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.94% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • John Marquis 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Loft 68' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Bowman 65'
  • goal Ryan Bowman 80'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luke Leahy 45' goal
  • Brandon Hanlan 60' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 70'
  • goal Daniel Udoh 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Brad Walker 37' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Hanlan 15'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 57'
  • yellowcard Cian Harries 66'
League One Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Rollin Menayese 29' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 43'
  • goal Daniel Udoh 69'
  • yellowcard Ro-Shaun Williams 74'
  • yellowcard Jason Cummings 87'
  • yellowcard Callum Lang 90'
  • yellowcard Dave Edwards 90'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Louis Thompson 20' yellowcard
  • Josh Laurent 20' yellowcard
  • Oliver Norburn 22' yellowcard
  • Josh Laurent 37' goal
  • Oliver Norburn 62' goal
  • Josh Laurent 67' goal
  • goal Tony Craig 11'
  • yellowcard Anssi Jaakkola 20'
  • yellowcard Victor Adeboyejo 21'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 28'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 36'
  • goal Liam Sercombe 47'
  • goal Abu Ogogo 87'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium (Bristol, Gloucestershire)
  • Joe Partington 19' yellowcard
  • Abu Ogogo 24' yellowcard
  • Alex Rodman 53' goal
  • Alex Rodman 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Norburn 24'
  • goal Shaun Whalley 36'
  • yellowcard Scott Golbourne 68'
  • redcard Dave Edwards 85'