League One | Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Shrewsbury2 - 1Bristol Rovers
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Both sides have had very difficult fixtures in recent weeks, so it is perhaps unfair to be overly critical about their poor form, but they will have a point to prove on Monday, even if the game ultimately does not count for much. Given that very little separates the two teams in the table, however, we think the most likely result is a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.06% ( -1.5) | 25% ( 0.71) | 31.94% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
