League One

League One | Gameweek 38

May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Leahy (3'), Street (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coburn (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
43.06% ( -1.5)	25% ( 0.71)	31.94% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

-2.88)

46.63% (

2.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

-2.76)

68.9% (

2.76)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-1.87)

21.66% (

1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

-2.94)

54.8% (

2.94)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.91)

27.71% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

-1.18)

63.27% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 43.06%

Bristol Rovers 31.94%

Draw 25%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.94%