Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.