Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.