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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 14.05% ( | 21.26% ( | 64.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% ( | 50.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% ( | 72.21% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.98% ( | 47.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.5% ( | 82.5% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( | 14.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( | 43.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 2-1 @ 3.79% ( 2-0 @ 1.99% ( 3-1 @ 0.95% ( 3-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 14.05% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.62% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-3 @ 8.08% ( 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-5 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 64.66% |