League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 0
Lincoln

Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Rotherham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Lincoln City
44.56% ( -1.11)	26.11% ( 0.02)	29.33% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.44)

52.42% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.38)

74.09% (

-0.38)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

-0.34)

23.43% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

-0.49)

57.43% (

0.49)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

1.05)

32.43% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

1.16)

68.95% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 44.55%

Lincoln City 29.33%

Draw 26.1%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.33%