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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
16.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)60.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.47% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)42.79% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22%15.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 16.78%
    Bolton Wanderers 60.93%
    Draw 22.28%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.27%
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.78%
1-1 @ 10.58%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 12.46%
0-2 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 7.09%
1-3 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.18%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 60.93%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion
Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')
Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')