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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 16.78% ( | 22.28% ( | 60.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( | 49.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( | 71.51% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.21% ( | 42.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( | 79.11% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% | 15.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.08% ( | 44.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 5.73% ( 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 2-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-1 @ 1.27% 3-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.78% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.15% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 12.46% 0-2 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-3 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.01% ( 0-4 @ 3.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-5 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 60.93% |