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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 34.71% ( | 26.54% ( | 38.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( | 52.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( | 74.25% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( | 28.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( | 64.74% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( | 26.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( | 61.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.75% |