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Championship header 2

League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (58'), Reid (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayliss (45+5'), Winchester (74'), Kenneh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
58.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)23.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)17.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.012 0.01)53.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)18.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)80.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 58.93%
    Shrewsbury Town 17.4%
    Draw 23.66%
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-2
Stevenage
Collins (22', 88'), Lawrence (24' pen.)
Knight-Percival (60'), Goldson (79')
Marriott (10'), Wells (42')
Pett (8'), Henry (32'), Lee (93')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Shrewsbury
Charles (36')
Lee (17'), Pett (67'), Henry (75')

Woods (80'), Griffith (83'), Goldson (85')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Stevenage
Taylor (57')
Jacobson (14'), Hall (45')
Hall (83')

Reid (10'), Obeng (61'), Freeman (62'), Zoko (76'), Smith (90')
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
Stevenage
1-3
Shrewsbury
Zoko (24')
Reach (35'), Eaves (38'), Jacobson (51')
Feb 23, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-1
Stevenage
Parry (31'), Morgan (86')
Jacobson (66')
Dunne (20')
Gray (65')
rhs 2.0


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