EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
  • Joe Gelhardt 52' goal
  • Pascal Struijk 58' goal
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 7'
  • goal Taylor Perry 28'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 50'

Leeds United vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 51.85% (-0.39)
Draw 23.42% (+0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 24.73% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.64% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 44.22% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 33.4% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 66.6% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 17.08% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 82.91% (-0.25)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 82.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.26% (+0.03)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 31.7% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 31.88% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 68.11% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Leeds United 51.85%
Draw 23.42%
Shrewsbury Town 24.73%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 51.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
Shrewsbury Town
1-2 @ 6.32% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 24.73%