MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 18:04:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough logo

West Brom
4 - 2
Middlesbrough

Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Middlesbrough

West Brom have looked vulnerable on the road so far this season, but back-to-back home games in the next week will hand the Baggies a real opportunity to find some consistency. Boro have not looked like the same team who threatened to catch Sheffield United in the automatic-promotion race last term, and we are expecting another loss for Boro in the Black Country. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
38.53% (-0.74 -0.74) 25.81% (0.164 0.16) 35.65% (0.577 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.493 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (-0.663 -0.66)49.41% (0.665 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (-0.598 -0.6)71.46% (0.59999999999999 0.6)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.697 -0.7)25.15% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)59.87% (0.974 0.97)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.024999999999991 0.02)26.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.031000000000006 0.03)62.06% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 38.53%
    Middlesbrough 35.65%
    Draw 25.81%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.181 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.245 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: West Brom vs Middlesbrough

West Bromwich Albion
55.2%
Draw
31.0%
Middlesbrough
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
West Brom
0-2
Middlesbrough

Livermore (57'), Phillips (69'), Austin (72'), Furlong (82')
Ayala (17'), Fletcher (93')
Howson (48'), Spence (69'), Coulson (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!