Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
4 - 2
Middlesbrough

Kipre (22', 22'), Swift (28', 28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Latte Lath (29', 29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Middlesbrough
38.53% ( -0.74)	25.81% ( 0.16)	35.65% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 54.8% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

-0.66)

49.41% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

-0.6)

71.46% (

0.6)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.7)

25.15% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

-0.97)

59.87% (

0.97)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.02)

26.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

0.03)

62.06% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 38.53%

Middlesbrough 35.65%

Draw 25.81%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.65%