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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
West Brom logo

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.46% (1.475 1.48)24.47% (0.161 0.16)40.07% (-1.631 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)43.31% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.454 -0.45)65.71% (0.459 0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.617 0.62)24.03% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.87 0.87)58.29% (-0.865 -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.961 -0.96)21.65% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-1.497 -1.5)54.78% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.46%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
    Draw 24.47%
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Leeds vs West Brom

Leeds United
71.0%
Draw
15.9%
West Bromwich Albion
13.0%
69
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
West Brom
Mar 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Leeds
4-0
West Brom
Hernandez (1'), Bamford (28', 63'), Alioski (92')

Barry (50')
rhs 2.0


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