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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Stoke logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Stoke

Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Stoke City

Leicester are quickly emerging as leading contenders for the Championship title, and they should be very confident of seeing off a wounded Stoke side at the King Power Stadium. The Potters' campaign will not be decided by what occurs in the East Midlands on Saturday afternoon, but we believe Neil's men will be unable to cope with the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
43.18% (-0.236 -0.24) 24.61% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 32.2% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 58.06% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.191 0.19)44.81% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.183 0.18)67.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)20.84% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)53.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.252 0.25)26.65% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.335 0.34)61.89% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 43.18%
    Stoke City 32.2%
    Draw 24.61%
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.2%

How you voted: Leicester vs Stoke

Leicester City
89.5%
Draw
7.0%
Stoke City
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Ndidi (25'), Vardy (47')
Fuchs (60')

Shawcross (16'), Whelan (29'), Crouch (69'), Arnautovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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