Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 0
Stoke

Iheanacho (24', 24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26'), Vestergaard (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Burger (32'), Burger (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Stoke City
43.18% ( -0.24)	24.61% ( -0.02)	32.2% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 58.06% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

0.19)

44.81% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

0.18)

67.17% (

-0.19)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.03)

20.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.04)

53.52% (

0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

0.25)

26.65% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

0.34)

61.89% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 43.18%

Stoke City 32.2%

Draw 24.61%

Leicester City	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2%