Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 24' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jannik Vestergaard 26' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 79' goal
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 32'

Leicester City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Leicester 3 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
Stoke 0 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result

Leicester City 43.18% (-0.24)
Draw 24.61% (-0.03)
Stoke City 32.2% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.06% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.19% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 44.81% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 32.83% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 67.17% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 16.67% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 83.32% (-0.14)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 20.84% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 46.48% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.52% (+0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 73.34% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 26.65% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 38.1% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 61.89% (-0.34)

Score analysis

Leicester City 43.18%
Draw 24.61%
Stoke City 32.2%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
Stoke City
1-2 @ 7.62% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.36% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.2%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Batth 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 28'
  • goal James Justin 34'
  • goal Marc Albrighton 59'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 79'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 81'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nick Powell 70' goal
  • goal Marc Albrighton 60'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 84'
Premier League
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Albrighton 18' yellowcard
  • Jack Butland 70' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 9'
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 23'
  • goal Xherdan Shaqiri 44'
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 82'
Premier League
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 39' goal
  • Peter Crouch 73' goal
  • goal Vicente Iborra 33'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 60'
Premier League
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilfred Ndidi 25' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 47' goal
  • Christian Fuchs 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Shawcross 16'
  • yellowcard Glenn Whelan 29'
  • yellowcard Peter Crouch 69'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 90'
Premier League
Dec 17, 2016 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bojan Krkic 39' goal
  • Joe Allen 45' goal
  • Glen Johnson 48' yellowcard
  • Eric Pieters 67' yellowcard
  • redcard Jamie Vardy 28'
  • yellowcard Danny Simpson 38'
  • yellowcard Islam Slimani 43'
  • yellowcard Andy King 44'
  • yellowcard Christian Fuchs 45'
  • yellowcard Marc Albrighton 45'
  • yellowcard Robert Huth 48'
  • goal Leonardo Ulloa 74'
  • goal Daniel Amartey 88'