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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
| 53.76% ( | 23.94% ( | 22.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( | 18.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.3% |