Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.