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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2023 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Hull logo

Stoke
1 - 3
Hull City

Vidigal (77')
Wilmot (42'), Laurent (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Connolly (30'), Traore (32'), Slater (73')
Jones (38'), Michael Seri (45+4'), Greaves (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Stoke
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawHull City
53.76% (-0.868 -0.87)23.94% (0.041 0.04)22.3% (0.825 0.83)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.966 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.74100000000001 0.74)48.91% (-0.743 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.667 0.67)71% (-0.67 -0.67)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)18.11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)49.06% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (1.218 1.22)36.42% (-1.22 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (1.21 1.21)73.21% (-1.212 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.76%
    Hull City 22.3%
    Draw 23.94%
Stoke CityDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.195 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Hull City

Stoke City
45.0%
Draw
20.0%
Hull City
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
0-0
Hull City
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hull City
0-3
Stoke
Baker (25', 64'), Wilmot (45')
Jan 16, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 27
Hull City
0-2
Stoke

Docherty (17'), Bernard (64'), Smallwood (70')
Brown (22'), Ince (50')
Doughty (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Hull City
Vrancic (35'), Powell (58')
Clucas (87'), Surridge (90')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Stoke
5-1
Hull City