Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5', 5'), Wells (15', 15')
Weimann (90+6'), Weimann (90+6')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Leris (20', 20'), Haksabanovic (47', 47'), Lowe (89', 89')
Tchamadeu (90+5'), Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.004999999999999 0)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.58%
    Stoke City 36.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
0-2
Stoke

Lansbury (14')
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!